Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002643 0.002825 0.003020 0.003248 0.003507 0.003795 0.004143
2024-10-20 0.002287 0.002518 0.002780 0.003104 0.003499 0.003975 0.004606
2024-10-27 0.002103 0.002368 0.002682 0.003089 0.003618 0.004304 0.005301
2024-11-03 0.001879 0.002143 0.002464 0.002893 0.003470 0.004255 0.005474
2024-11-10 0.001796 0.002080 0.002434 0.002925 0.003618 0.004620 0.006320
2024-11-17 0.001737 0.002039 0.002426 0.002980 0.003798 0.005059 0.007417
2024-11-24 0.001659 0.001966 0.002366 0.002955 0.003854 0.005311 0.008268
2024-12-01 0.001620 0.001941 0.002369 0.003015 0.004046 0.005822 0.009854
2024-12-08 0.001563 0.001887 0.002326 0.003003 0.004117 0.006132 0.011158
2024-12-15 0.001500 0.001821 0.002261 0.002950 0.004111 0.006294 0.012186
2024-12-22 0.001477 0.001808 0.002271 0.003014 0.004314 0.006919 0.015036
2024-12-29 0.001452 0.001791 0.002272 0.003063 0.004496 0.007555 0.018709
2025-01-05 0.001402 0.001740 0.002223 0.003031 0.004534 0.007905 0.022001
2025-01-12 0.001335 0.001660 0.002129 0.002917 0.004402 0.007809 0.023072
2025-01-19 0.001299 0.001625 0.002099 0.002910 0.004482 0.008292 0.028781
2025-01-26 0.001225 0.001531 0.001976 0.002735 0.004199 0.007716 0.026069
2025-02-02 0.001205 0.001515 0.001971 0.002765 0.004346 0.008399 0.035530
2025-02-09 0.001191 0.001507 0.001978 0.002815 0.004544 0.009331 0.055857
2025-02-16 0.001161 0.001475 0.001946 0.002792 0.004577 0.009753 0.077015
2025-02-23 0.001150 0.001470 0.001956 0.002848 0.004798 0.010967 0.193838
2025-03-02 0.001126 0.001445 0.001932 0.002837 0.004860 0.011617 0.593550
2025-03-09 0.001097 0.001409 0.001890 0.002789 0.004824 0.011845 3.639559
2025-03-16 0.001089 0.001407 0.001903 0.002846 0.005066 0.013529 NaN